We’ve had some correlation issues the past few days with the Protector portfolio. It’s still outperforming the indexes overall but it’s been a big drag the past 3-4 days. As of yesterday it was down about 1% overall vs SPY -4.5%. Today I expect it to close the gap a bit more and probably sits at about -2% vs SPY -5%. Still, not bad for a completely hedged portfolio of stocks but, of course, disappointing short term.
The reason for the correlation issues? One is Hilary Clinton released a tweet targeting Biotech companies with astronomical medication costs and the mechanical picks I had included some of those. So the market did about what -1.2% at around 3pm and my stocks were down a combined 1.8%. Yesterday was worse, we had MNK lose 10% on the day and the stocks lost about 0.7% on a day the spy lost 0%.
I am starting to go more risk on with the options trades (which all handled the 4% fall from 203 to 194 quite well). I’ll probably enter more tomorrow.
The market is in indecision right now. I can’t help but think it’ll test the Aug lows but who knows. The market opened and closed within cents the last few days forming very tight dojis. The market opened at 196.44 and closed at 196.46 yesterday and opened at 193.88 and closed at 193.88 today. This suggests that bulls are defending and that if the bears were going to score, they’d have done so with those gap downs and relatively strong downward pressure overnight. If it were to collapse short term, you’d think it would have happened yesterday or today. Though, all it takes is some more bad news out of China or anywhere (i.e. China PMI before tomorrows open I am told). It seems like they are pushing the market around during the overnight hours…running stops etc. That’s where the market is moving.